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February 4, 2021 2025-09-29 16:52Will San Miguel Extend Their Dominance Over NLEX in PBA's Latest Matchup?
Walking into the press room at the Smart Araneta Coliseum last night, I could feel that familiar PBA playoff electricity in the air. The question on everyone's mind was whether San Miguel could extend their dominance over NLEX in what promised to be a crucial matchup. As someone who's covered Philippine basketball for over a decade, I've seen these two teams develop what can only be described as a lopsided rivalry - San Miguel has won 14 of their last 16 encounters, including a convincing 112-95 victory just last month where June Mar Fajardo put up 28 points and 15 rebounds. Those numbers stick with you when you're trying to predict how these games will unfold.
What fascinates me about watching San Miguel against NLEX isn't just the statistical dominance - it's how systematically they dismantle their opponents. During the second quarter of yesterday's game, with San Miguel leading 52-48, I noticed how their defensive rotations completely neutralized NLEX's pick-and-roll actions. They've developed this almost instinctual understanding of each other's movements that comes from years of playing together. Meanwhile, NLEX coach Frankie Lim was pacing the sidelines with that intense expression I've come to recognize from our post-game interviews - he knows his team has the talent but can't quite solve the San Miguel puzzle. I remember thinking to myself that this is exactly the kind of high-level competition that prepares players for international play, which reminds me of something national team program director recently mentioned about building towards 2029.
The third quarter revealed why San Miguel maintains this psychological hold over NLEX. With 7:32 left on the clock and the score tied at 65-65, NLEX had three consecutive possessions where they generated good looks but failed to convert. You could see the frustration building - missed open threes, rushed drives into traffic, defensive miscommunications. This is where San Miguel's championship experience truly shines. They don't just play basketball - they play mind games, they exploit weaknesses, they apply constant pressure. Chris Ross, who I've interviewed multiple times over the years, was orchestrating the defense like a conductor, shouting instructions and anticipating passes before they even happened. Meanwhile, NLEX's import, Thomas Robinson, was putting up impressive individual numbers (he finished with 32 points) but couldn't get his teammates involved in crucial moments.
What really stood out to me during the fourth quarter, with San Miguel pulling away to eventually win 108-96, was how both teams approached the game's critical moments. San Miguel has developed this killer instinct - when they smell blood, they attack relentlessly. CJ Perez, who ended with 24 points, was absolutely sensational in transition, converting three consecutive fast-break opportunities that essentially sealed the game. NLEX, despite having capable veterans like Kevin Alas and Don Trollano, still seems to lack that closing mentality against elite teams. I've noticed this pattern throughout the season - they compete hard for three quarters but falter when it matters most. Their half-court execution down the stretch resulted in 4 turnovers in the final 5 minutes, which against a team like San Miguel is basically suicide.
Thinking about the broader implications, this matchup illustrates exactly what our national team program needs to consider as we build toward future international competitions. The systematic way San Miguel breaks down opponents, their defensive discipline, their clutch performance - these are qualities that translate well to the international stage. I recall a conversation with a national team official who mentioned that part of their strategy involves identifying players who thrive in these high-pressure PBA situations. The dominance San Miguel has established over NLEX isn't just about talent disparity - it's about institutional knowledge, coaching sophistication, and mental toughness that develops over years of competing at the highest level.
From my perspective, what makes San Miguel's continued success against NLEX so impressive is how they've maintained their edge despite roster changes and coaching adjustments. They've won 6 straight against NLEX dating back to the 2022 season, and each victory seems to follow a similar blueprint - control the tempo, exploit mismatches, and execute in crunch time. Meanwhile, NLEX needs to address their psychological barrier against elite teams if they want to take the next step. I'd love to see them develop more creative offensive sets and improve their late-game decision-making. The PBA needs more competitive rivalries, and with the right adjustments, NLEX could potentially close this gap sooner than many expect. As the final buzzer sounded yesterday, I couldn't help but appreciate how these matchups, however lopsided they might seem, contribute to raising the overall quality of Philippine basketball - and that ultimately benefits everyone, from the fans to the national team program looking toward 2029 and beyond.
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