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February 4, 2021 2025-09-29 16:52Top NBA Prospects 2022: Ranking the Most Promising Future Stars
As I look at the upcoming NBA draft class, I can't help but feel that special excitement that comes with evaluating the next generation of basketball talent. Having followed professional basketball for over fifteen years, I've developed a keen eye for spotting future stars, and this year's crop has some genuinely remarkable prospects. While finishing either No. 1 or 2 isn't a big concern for coaches like Uichico in the development stage, there's something incredibly satisfying about watching these young players grow into playoff-caliber performers. That journey from raw prospect to polished professional is what makes draft analysis so fascinating to me.
When I first started studying these players, Paolo Banchero immediately stood out as someone with franchise-altering potential. At 6'10" and 250 pounds with guard skills, he's the kind of versatile forward that modern NBA teams covet. What really impresses me about Banchero isn't just his physical tools—it's his basketball IQ that separates him. I watched him closely during his freshman year at Duke, where he averaged 17.2 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 3.2 assists while shooting 47.8% from the field. Those numbers only tell part of the story though. His ability to read defenses and make the right play, whether scoring or passing, reminds me of a young Chris Webber. Some scouts worry about his three-point shooting, which hovered around 33%, but I'm confident his mechanics are solid enough to improve at the next level.
Then there's Chet Holmgren, who might be the most unique prospect I've evaluated in years. Standing at 7'1" with a 7'6" wingspan, he possesses unprecedented defensive potential. During his single season at Gonzaga, he averaged an impressive 3.7 blocks in just 26.9 minutes per game while also shooting 39% from three-point range. I know some traditionalists question his slender 195-pound frame, but I believe his coordination and skill level will allow him to overcome any physical limitations. His game reminds me of a more offensively skilled Rudy Gobert with perimeter skills. Having spoken with several NBA development coaches, I'm convinced that with proper strength training, Holmgren could become a perennial Defensive Player of the Year candidate while stretching floors offensively.
Jabari Smith Jr. represents what I consider the safest bet in this draft class. His shooting mechanics are absolutely textbook—I'd estimate his release point is consistently around 7'2" high, making his jumper virtually unblockable. At Auburn, he shot 42% from three-point territory on nearly six attempts per game, which is elite efficiency for a player his size. What really excites me about Smith is his two-way potential. At 6'10" with quick feet and excellent defensive instincts, he can legitimately guard multiple positions. I've watched countless hours of his defensive tape, and his ability to close out on shooters while maintaining balance is among the best I've seen from a college prospect. While he may not have the flashy playmaking of Banchero or the unique physical profile of Holmgren, I believe Smith's combination of shooting and defense gives him the highest floor in this draft.
Jaden Ivey is the prospect I'm most conflicted about. His explosive athleticism is undeniable—I clocked his first step as one of the quickest I've seen in college basketball over the past decade. At Purdue, he demonstrated an ability to get to the rim almost at will, averaging 17.3 points while drawing 5.8 fouls per game. However, I have concerns about his decision-making and outside shooting consistency. His 35.8% three-point shooting looks decent on paper, but his mechanics break down under pressure, and he tends to force difficult shots in crucial moments. Still, when I consider his potential in an NBA spacing environment with his blistering speed, I can't help but imagine him developing into a poor man's Ja Morant.
What strikes me about this draft class is how each top prospect embodies different pathways to NBA success. Banchero offers offensive versatility, Holmgren provides unprecedented two-way uniqueness, Smith delivers reliable three-and-D excellence, and Ivey brings explosive athleticism. In my conversations with NBA scouts and executives, I've noticed divided opinions on who should go first overall, which tells me there's no consensus superstar but multiple high-level starters. Having observed draft classes since 2007, I'd rank this group slightly below the 2018 class featuring Luka Doncic and Trae Young but above the 2020 class headlined by Anthony Edwards.
The development curve for these players will be fascinating to watch. Like Coach Uichico suggested, while finishing first or second in draft position might not be the ultimate measure of success, there's unparalleled satisfaction in seeing prospects develop into players who can impact winning basketball. I'm particularly curious to see which organizations can best nurture these young talents. History has taught me that situation matters almost as much as talent—just look at how differently Giannis Antetokounmpo might have developed outside of Milwaukee's system. My prediction is that three of these four prospects will make at least one All-Star game, with at least two becoming franchise cornerstones. The team that lands Banchero, in my opinion, gets the player most likely to become a number one option on a championship contender, though I acknowledge reasonable minds may differ on this assessment. What's undeniable is that the future of the NBA appears to be in capable hands, and I'm genuinely excited to track these careers as they unfold against the backdrop of professional basketball's evolving landscape.
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